Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, Obama Goes Negative

Many of us have noticed Obama going negative since last summer. The most intense attack was a recent conference call in which Obama's team said a fellow Democrat lacked the integrity to lay a wreathe at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.

But that didn't matter, because the press saw Obama as a new kind of politician who didn't go negative. Perception is reality. It's the entire premise of Obama's campaign: he may be thin on experience, but he's above the fray. And yet.

Today we see the third liberal publication in two days running a lead story on Obama's "nasty" negative campaigning in Pennsylvania. This undermines his entire argument. How will the voters react? How will the Superdelegates see this move? These things take time to sink in. We may not know for a few weeks.

As he did in Ohio and Texas, Obama outspent Hillary by more than two to one in Pennsylvania. He may pull out a win. He better. But if he doesn't, following the sympathy he received from ABC's unfair debate questions last week, that may not be a problem given he's the one who doesn't (as the press says) go negative. Or does he?:


  • New York Observer: Obama gets nasty
    PHILADELPHIA--Barack Obama's final push through Pennsylvania has shown the combative, angry side of a candidate and campaign that had once been defined by its good cheer and condemnation of negative tactics.
  • NYT: Trailing Clinton, Obama sharpens tone
    In television commercials and in appearances before crowded rallies, Mr. Obama, of Illinois, cast his opponent in one of the most negative lights of the entire 16-month campaign, calling her a compromised Washington insider.
  • Slate: Barack Track
    DOWNINGTOWN, Pa.--At the next train stop, I'm going to stand behind Sen. Obama when he speaks. When he's decrying the trivial distractions in politics, I think he may be crossing his fingers behind his back.

How this fresh, new untested candidate will handle the press turning on him remains a mystery. He could be fantastic. Or petulant. Let's let it play out over the next month.



Display:


Re: Tipping point: despite cash advantage, Obama g (1.33 / 3)

So you will post a diary about Hillary going negative?


by Bobby Obama on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:49:32 AM EST

That wasn't her argument (2.00 / 7)

for voting for her. She ran on experience, on being a fighter.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:50:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

That's also not (2.00 / 1)

his argument for voting for him. He never claimed to be running as the weak-kneed pushover; he did say, and has kept that promise, that he'd run a people-powered grassroots campaign without lobbyist money.

And he has.

I really think it's a tad disingenuous to make the argument that Hillary never promised to run a clean campaign, and then to fault Obama for responding. He could have finished her off with a Tuxla-gate ad, and chose, wrongly in my opinion, not to do so.


"This election is not about ideology, it's about competence." -Michael Dukakis
by MBNYC on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:57:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

He promised no pettiness (2.00 / 2)

remember "the smallness of our politics" or something like that.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:59:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: He promised no pettiness (2.00 / 1)

Are you concerned that he has negative ads or that his ads are petty?  They're different things.


by Mostly on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:01:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Will the voters forgive him? (2.00 / 2)

As the media narrative builds up over the next few weeks, how will the voters react?

They may not care. But it takes time to play out.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:08:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Not the same thing. (2.00 / 1)

First of all, I don't think his mild messaging - again, Tuzla-gate offered up far richer grounds for character assassination had that been a goal - qualifies as negative in that sense. Certainly not compared to what could have been run against her; I'm still waiting for the ads about how they lost Congress in 1994.

What you're asking for is unilateral disarmament. Fine. But what I don't get is what Hillary's slimefest has to do with her claims to competence or to being "ready on day one". Can we deduce from her messaging that she's thrown that overboard?


"This election is not about ideology, it's about competence." -Michael Dukakis
by MBNYC on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:05:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not the same thing. (2.00 / 1)

You may have to wait a long long time because the Clintons didn't lose congress.

They didn't make Gingrich.

They didn't make the deal with America.

They didn't make the American people frustrated with a democratic congress that wouldn't work with the democratic president on healthcare.


by DTaylor on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:47:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not the same thing. (2.00 / 1)

Then what, pray tell, was the genesis for the Democratic party losing Congress in 1994? Magic?


Serious question- Is This Snark?
by ragekage on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:04:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not the same thing. (2.00 / 2)

In fairness, Clinton went to bat for gays early and the GOP came out with all that crap from Paul Cameron (you know, about how gays are 500% more likely to murder your children).

The Democratic majority had become lazy and softly corrupt (NOTHING like the hard-core, fully systemic corruption of the GOP now of course), and the disenchantment with it had been building up.

That said, Blue Dog politics has not helped us much in Congress.


by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:25:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not the same thing. (none / 0)

sam Nunn, Speaker Wright, Dan Rostenkowski, Check kiting


by rocky on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 06:36:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Actually... (2.00 / 1)

The Kennedys did start sponsoring those flights, just after Obama's father went over, if what I remember is correct.

It was an easy mistake to make, and if it were an outright lie, I'm sure Teddy would have uncommitted his superdelegate status very shortly.


In this avalanche, the pebbles get to vote.

That One/Another Fella '08

by Dracomicron on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:39:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Interesting (2.00 / 7)

Of course, Obama never promised to be a

"weak-kneed pushover"

But he did promise to be above it all and decried negative campaigning.  IN fact he said the only way HRC could beat him is by negative campaigning.

And if you think HRC is a weak-kneed pushover, well then why are we here today?

Don't change the subject.  Obama promised to be above it all and now we see that only applied until he got asked some tough questions that even his supporters admit he was not prepared for.  IT doesn't work to NOT answer the questions and decry negative campaigning.

He is in a bind, and it looks like the only way he can win now is to go negative, and to eliminate florida and michigan voting. His stance on issues has not been developed enough to offer anything else to counter HRC--he's only been talking about hope.

Ah, but now the supers are going to have to decide whether he is indeed "electable", given the side of him that is now showing.  You can't just run as the "anti-HRC" candidate.


by 4justice on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:07:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I like the fact he's going negative (2.00 / 4)

...if that's what he's in fact doing. The Clintons have been allowed to get away with quite a bit by the way of negative campaigning, with no real price being extracted for it except by the watchdogs in the blogosphere. Maybe, if it's demonstrated to them that there is a price to be paid for their atrocious messaging, they'll take a step back and consider other options.


"This election is not about ideology, it's about competence." -Michael Dukakis
by MBNYC on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:17:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I like the fact he's going negative (2.00 / 3)

Hillary's been "allowed to get away" with negative campaigning?  The press hammers her every time she or one of her surrogates mentions his name.  

It's no surprise that you like his attacks on Clinton, his campaign has been aggressively attacking her throughout the race.  Hypocrisy doesn't bother you in the least?


by Apostle on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:26:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I like the fact he's going negative (2.00 / 1)

She is allowed to get away with it because there is something other than sunshine and happiness in her resume.

If Obama had a real presidential nominee resume he would get away with it too..

But he doesn't...

Ayers, Rev Wright, Rezko, Auchi, Florida, Michigan, My voters won't support, I am proud for the first time, etc.....

There is nothing in his resume to counter act that except hope and his race.

Hillary on the other hand has 3 times the national senate experience and the whole Clinton 8 years of kick ass national performance to back her up.


by DTaylor on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:51:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I like the fact he's going negative (2.00 / 1)

Did you hear that, folks? Clinton can get away with it because it's a key component of her resume. Even Clinton supporters admit it.


Serious question- Is This Snark?
by ragekage on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:05:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I like the fact he's going negative (2.00 / 1)

I fear details aren't DTaylor's motif. That's okay. You likely know that's not true, certainly its a refrain that has failed profoundly with the voters. But boy, its annoying and condescending and I am pretty sure it will be part of the Hillary campaign's ultimate obituary.


Fight the Smears!
by Lettuce on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:02:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Interesting (none / 0)

Oh crap....

There are diaries on this very site that decry his ability to effectively fight off the GOP slime machine... but then he goes negative against Clinton, as a result of numerous negative attacks on Him by her, and Clinton supporters now cry foul...?  


McCain/Palin... even scarier than Bush/Cheney... and that's saying something!
by JenKinFLA on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 08:13:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's also not (2.00 / 4)

So when up against someone using 'old politics' it's now perfectly acceptable to use 'old politics' even when you swore to be above it and centered your campaign on this promise?  When do we get to 'new politics'?


by Apostle on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:21:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's also not (2.00 / 1)

You can have "new politics" only after he is elected.  Until then it's old-or-bust.

Kind of like "unity".  You can have unity just as soon as everyone adopts his viewpoint.  Until then: division, condescension and alienation.

Kind of like "talking about the issues that matter."  We'll get to that just as soon as he finishes lecturing us about the need to talk about the issues that matter.  Any day now.


by bobbank on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:26:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Actually (2.00 / 2)

That is his argument.

It's all he talks about - a campaign about campaigning.  He spent all day Thursday, all day Friday, all day Saturday, and all day Sunday talking about how other people aren't talking about the issues.

Huh?  Cognitive dissonance much?

Instead of scolding people for not talking about the issues, how 'bout talking about them??  His central argument has been: vote for me because this is a movement, something new and positive and different.

He's been promsing me for over a year now that he would tell me what I needed to hear, not just what I wanted to hear.  But it seems like the only thing he thinks I need to hear is a lecture on how to run a campaign, and why nobody runs a campaign as good as his.

We're nearly a year and a half into this now.  Don't we deserve a little substance at this point?

During the few occassions when he does talk about an issue, all he does is annunciate it.  Example: we need universal healthcare.  Well, yes, but the question is how we can get there?  On that note, he's quick to point out reasons why you should be afraid of a mandate for universal healthcare.  Huh??

What is this guy even talking about?


by bobbank on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:24:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Actually (none / 0)

"His central argument has been: vote for me because this is a movement, something new and positive and different."

How do think it became a movement?  Do you think it just began as some transformative enterprise by happenstance?

He has been talking about issues throughout.  He has a website that lists both his accomplishments on issues and his policies for when he is president.  It' www.barackobama.com; just check out the issues section.  He has given countless speeches on a variety of issues from foreign policy, to energy, to race.

This is by far one of the dumbest diatribes against Obama.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 08:50:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's also not (1.00 / 0)

Obama doesn't seem to be able to overcome the Clinton advantages ... he's outspent her, his supporters are way energized, he's got younger voters on his side (who have more time to volunteer), and he's had 6 weeks to campaign in PA - and still he can't overtake her.  What's wrong with Obama? He lost big in CA, NY, TX, OH, Fl, and now we'll see PA.  He's only won IL, his home state. This doesn't look good against McCain ...


by PracticalMagic on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 07:42:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That's also not (2.00 / 1)

It seems like only yesterday people were attacking Obama for being too soft and calling him "Obambi."


by catalysis on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 08:40:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That wasn't her argument (2.00 / 1)

She ran on her husbands experience, in a year when people want change. That's why she's losing.


by venician on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:37:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That wasn't her argument (none / 0)

What a fighter -- pulling out bin Laden in a Democratic primary.  Are you proud of that?


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:32:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That is a great ad (2.00 / 1)

very strong closing argument, and it's POSITIVE.

Pretending conflict doesn't exist does not make us well prepared for its inevitable appearance.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:53:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: That wasn't her argument (2.00 / 1)

Hillary ran as an incumbent.


It's time to restore balance and fairness to our economy,... It's time to stop giving tax cuts to corporations that ship jobs overseas... - Barack Obama
by Lefty Coaster on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 08:02:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Will you post one about Obama? (2.00 / 6)

Will you discuss how he and his campaign distorted Bill Clinton's fairy tale comment?

And how he and his campaign distorted Hillary's MLK-LBJ comment?

And those flyers...
And those other flyers...

Will you do that, and show yourself to be an intellectually honest person?


Never let the bullies win.
by SluggoJD on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:54:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Who went nagative first? (2.00 / 5)

Paul Lukasiak had a post up at FireDogLake that talks about race and gender and polls, etc.
--------------

In the comment section he responds to this quote from an Obama supporter who said this: "I agree that Clinton's negative image was built on a myth UNTIL she started sounding like a Repub, trashing Obama and seems to be going for a scorched policy - that she is going to take Obama out and damn the consequences. I was an Edwards backer because I liked his policies. When he dropped out, I decided that I would probably support Clinton. Now, however, I cannot."

Lukasiak's response:

"Is it a timing thing? Because all the Democrats, including Obama, did whatever they could to "scorch earth" Hillary's chances starting in September. I don't know if people just forget about it, or don't think it matters, but Hillary Clinton was running a relentlessly positive, issue oriented campaign through last September -- in fact all the candidates were up until that point. But no one was getting any real traction -- Hillary's numbers went up all summer, and Obama's went down, Edwards couldn't get media and languished in third place, and there were another half -dozen "WHO?" candidates.

Running positive against Clinton wasn't working, so everyone, including Obama (except for Richardson) went negative on her -- attacking her relentlessly to drive up her negatives so they would have a shot.

So is it just the timing? Or have people forgotten about that.

And, when it comes to "scorched earth" campaign tactics, nothing beats the "swift-boating" of the Clinton on the race issue in South Carolina by the Obama campaign and its supporters. And it was "swift-boating", it was a big fat lie that Clinton was running a racist campaign, and the accusation made no sense; given the demographics of South Carolina, why would Clinton choose to start running racist then?

So again, I ask, have people just forgotten how we got where we are, or is it a question of timing? Is it okay to pull sh*t early in a primary season, but not later because of the potential impact it will have on the general election?"


by CoyoteCreek on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:26:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping point: despite cash advantage, Obama g (2.00 / 1)

Funny!  Who is running an ad with footage of bin Laden?  Not Obama.....


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:52:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping point: despite cash advantage, Obama g (none / 0)

So your argument is that because Obama has a lot of money he shouldn't criticize Clinton in his ads?

Odd, that.


We care about politics because we know politics matters for people's lives and opportunities.
by politicsmatters on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 07:20:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping point: despite cash advantage, Obama g (none / 0)

Going negative is a sign of desperation, just like they said about Clinton.  Is the tide turning against Obama? Has he scrapped his hope campaign in favor of a hate campaign? How will that play out? Hope and change seems to be all he has as his argument.  If that goes, where's the beef?  Is there enough time for Clinton to close the deal?  Stranger things have happened ...


by PracticalMagic on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 07:46:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

As Todd says on front page - AP story (2.00 / 4)

says Superdelegates more concerned about who can win in November than they are with pledged delegates.

AP.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:51:10 AM EST

Double standard. (2.00 / 2)

Clinton has been running a relentlessly negative campaign for weeks. At some point, in a world where cause and effect come into play, Obama has to fire back with both barrels.

Not that this is also aimed at least in part at super-delegates, who need to be shown that Obama is not simply going to take being smeared lying down.

Clinton is reaping what she sowed.


"This election is not about ideology, it's about competence." -Michael Dukakis
by MBNYC on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:54:47 AM EST

Compare the emails (2.00 / 6)

I subscribe to email from Obama, Clinton, McCain. Obama's emails mention Hillary more frequently.

His emails are more personal in their attacks and more negative. "Desperate" "will do anything to win" "scorched earth".

When her emails mention Obama, which they rarely do, the comment is "he's outspending us". That's as low as her campaign has gone.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:56:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Please point (2.00 / 1)

to the campaign ads on the air that are as aggressively negative as Hillary's PA voters spot about "Bittergate". I don't think you'll be able to.

I'm not a big fan of negative campaigning, but anyone who's not deeply invested in Clinton seems to be agreeing that her campaign initiated the attack ads.


"This election is not about ideology, it's about competence." -Michael Dukakis
by MBNYC on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:01:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Compare the emails (none / 0)

The "will do anything to win" drives me nuts. That is such a GOP talking point and yet we have to hear it all the time from so-called Democrats.


by LakersFan on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:16:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Double standard. (2.00 / 1)

Don't suit up if you don't want to get tackled.
Didn't big dawg recently say something to that effect.
by parahammer on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:57:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

See above...who went negative first? (2.00 / 3)


by CoyoteCreek on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:35:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: See above...who went negative first? (none / 0)

Obama with D punjab


by rocky on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 06:38:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, Obama G (2.00 / 4)

He outspent her in OH & TX, and he couldn't knocked her out.

And now he is outspending her again in PA.  Viewers saw 5 TV ads of him in 1 hour.  

This is a proof against the myth that Obama believes everywhere is Obama country when he's there.  Fault!


by JoeySky18 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:59:36 AM EST

Or to put it a different way... (2.00 / 2)

She started out with all the advantages, the aura of inevitability, the most money, the most well oiled political machine in modern history, most of the Democratic establishment behind her, an ex-President to run around as an endorser... and she still lost.


John McCain supports privatizing Social Security.
by Travis Stark on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:15:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Or to put it a different way... (2.00 / 1)

"... and she still lost."

Yes in California, Texas, Ohio

Oh wait pollsters were wrong...

Maybe pollsters are wrong again.


by DTaylor on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:54:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Or to put it a different way... (none / 0)

She lost Texas.


by haystax calhoun on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:04:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Or to put it a different way... (none / 0)

In the same way Gore lost Florida...

Bush got more delegates from Florida in 2000 just like Obama in Texas


by DTaylor on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 05:18:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Or to put it a different way... (none / 0)

No comparison.  Winner take all FL GE 04.  


by haystax calhoun on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 06:25:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Or to put it a different way... (none / 0)

Wow, you're hoping for an Obama win, eh?


Serious question- Is This Snark?
by ragekage on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:06:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No. You don't understand. (none / 0)

She will not be the nominee. We're just seeing, at this point, how much money we can waste and how many advantages we can give to John McCain before we can finally start fighting the general election with Obama vs. McCain. I'm sorry. I thought that was obvious.


John McCain supports privatizing Social Security.
by Travis Stark on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:25:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Not gonna happen, but carry on. n/t (none / 0)


John McCain supports privatizing Social Security.
by Travis Stark on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:14:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, Obama G (none / 0)

If Hillary can't take the heat she should get out of the kitchen......


"I am standing with Barack Obama to say, `Yes, we can!'" Hillary Clinton 6/7/08
by feliks on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:23:31 PM EST

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, Obama G (none / 0)

Didn't Harry Truman say that?  I'm with him.  He said it best.


by Mostly on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:41:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, Obama G (2.00 / 3)

Have you not yet noticed that she's been 'taking the heat' for over a decade now?  When's it going to be official that she can take it?

How long did Obama 'take the heat' before abandoning his cherished principles?

Let's give credit where it's due.


by Apostle on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:28:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

REmember when...... (none / 0)

Hillary thought Obama wasn't a muslim, "As far as she knew".


overthrow the government~participate
by missliberties on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:47:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

"Of course not" was her answer (2.00 / 1)

but he kept asking and asking.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:55:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: REmember when...... (1.00 / 3)

He was raised muslim.  As per  his sister's quote.

He has said he will stand with the muslims if there is a either or situation.

He has said he is christian.

If I was asked about anyone else with that set of facts I would also not put my personal credibility on the line for his christianness.


by DTaylor on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:56:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: REmember when...... (none / 0)

"He has said he will stand with the muslims if there is a either or situation."

Link? This is an outrageous accusation--hide-worthy, if you don't back it up.


by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:51:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: REmember when...... (none / 0)

OK Partially my bad

Alleged quote:

"I will stand with the Muslims should the political winds shift in an ugly direction."

The actual quote from  "The Audacity of Hope". is from page 261:

"Of course, not all my conversations in immigrant communities follow this easy pattern. In the wake of 9/11, my meetings with Arab and Pakistani Americans, for example, have a more urgent quality, for the stories of detentions and FBI questioning and hard stares from neighbors have shaken their sense of security and belonging. They have been reminded that the history of immigration in this country has a dark underbelly; they need specific reassurances that their citizenship really means something, that America has learned the right lessons from the Japanese internments during World War II, and that I will stand with them should the political winds shift in an ugly direction."


by DTaylor on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 04:54:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: REmember when...... (2.00 / 0)

So, he's saying he will stand with a minority American citizen community if they are being unjustly deprived of their civil rights?

I would most certainly hope so.

That's not at all what your initial quote implied, taken out of context, but thank you for re-contextualizing.


by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 05:25:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: REmember when...... (none / 0)

Not this Obama supporter. I thought it was much ado about nothing.


by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 05:28:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, Obama G (2.00 / 2)

Dude, it's Obama's fault he went negative. Everyone knew Clinton would, it's the only way she knows how to operate. She can't win without the negativity; it's one of her key strengths. Obama should have known that, but he didn't, so luckily for us, we get to bash him for having to respond and we get to play the victim card, which is our other great strength. YAY! CLINTON 2008!


Serious question- Is This Snark?
by ragekage on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:24:24 PM EST

Yeah we know (none / 0)

Everything wrong with Clinton and her campaign is Obama's fault.

Poor Clinton. She is so picked on.


overthrow the government~participate
by missliberties on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:46:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Bingo! (none / 0)

Awesome summary, rage.

Stephen Colbert would use that in a heartbeat.


by edmandspath on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 06:19:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, (2.00 / 1)

Do people have any memory about campaign tactics?  This is one of the oldest scripts in the book: the change candidate goes against the establishment candidate and promises to run a positive campaign.  The establishment candidate makes no such promises and runs a "hard-nosed" (i.e., negative) campaign.  When the first candidate is forced to respond, the establishment candidate starts complaining about the negative attacks and tries to present the first candidate as a hypocrite.  People who aren't paying attention buy into the spin.

And hey, don't some of the Clinton supporters want a "fighter," or is that term only reserved for Clinton herself?


by rfahey22 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:32:00 PM EST

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, (2.00 / 0)

"....ridiculed Hart's "new ideas" by quoting a line from a popular Wendy's television commercial at the time: "Where's the beef?". Mondale's remark was not effectively countered by Hart's campaign[?!], and when Hart -- who was seen by many voters as a fresh, honest alternative to typical politicians -- ran stereotyped negative TV commercials against Mondale in the crucial Illinois primary, his campaign descended to the level of ordinary politics that Mondale represented, and Hart's appeal as a new kind of Democrat never quite entirely recovered."


by Mostly on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:45:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage, (none / 0)

Yeah, really.  This year's campaign narrative could have been written months ago.  I don't see why people keep falling for it.


by rfahey22 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:54:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I sure as hell want a fighter (none / 0)

..just not someone who will fight for the establishment. (And not someone who has taken massive amounts of foreign money and has promised to automatically commit more American blood and treasure should a skirmish arise between Iran and Israel.)

That IS a compromised candidate, in my opinion.


by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:42:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

From what I've heard (none / 0)

Hillary has not had a single positive ad in PA in at least two weeks. Her campaign there has pretty much gone 100% negative, so you can expect, as would I, that Obama is going to fight back. I would also expect Clinton supporters to respond with, "Oh look! He's being so negative!"


John McCain supports privatizing Social Security.
by Travis Stark on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:41:50 PM EST

Little girls in mary janes not positive (2.00 / 2)

The most adorable campaign ad probably in the history of presidential politics.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:10:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Has she been running that in the last 2 weeks? (none / 0)

If so I stand corrected. I'm not in PA, so I have to go with what I read/hear. I still would say that many people have reported she's been pretty much 100% negative in the late moments before this primary. Her last minute ad certainly shows that.


John McCain supports privatizing Social Security.
by Travis Stark on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:14:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Has she been running that in the last 2 weeks? (none / 0)

This is how it is as of Friday: in Pittsburgh/Allegheny and Central PA she's running one ad - the "bitter" ad.  Negative.

In Harrisburg and Pennsylvania she's running two - one positive, one negative.


by Mostly on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:47:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Has she been running that in the last 2 weeks? (none / 0)

You said Harrisburg and Pennsylvania. Did you mean Philly? As someone outside that market I'm interested.


John McCain supports privatizing Social Security.
by Travis Stark on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:18:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh no. Scary Bin Laden ad not negative. (none / 0)

Heavens no. Be afraid. Be very afraid.


John McCain supports privatizing Social Security.
by Travis Stark on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 04:32:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Little girls in mary janes not positive (2.00 / 0)

Thanks for that link. Wow, who knew politics could be so cute.


by LakersFan on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:20:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negative Campaigning (none / 0)

It is definitely negative campaigning to call your opponent a "Washington insider" but frankly it is topical.  It suggests that the opponent is POLITICALLY compromised to special interests.

It is also negative campaigning to suggest that your opponent is a friend of terrorists, a closet Muslim, and a black nationalist, but these are hardly political attacks.  They are PERSONAL attacks.  

The former are legitimate in my opinion.  The latter are cynical.


by zadura on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:46:09 PM EST

But if he IS a friend of terrorists (1.14 / 7)

is it negative campaigning?


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:11:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Weather Underground serious business (2.00 / 2)

It's not a deal-breaker that Obama once met the guy. But we'll need to prep him with a better debate answer regarding Ayers for the G.E. Obama looked caught off guard.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:14:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

Really? I thought his mention that Clinton commuted sentences for two of the WU "terrorists" pretty much took the air out of that balloon.


by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:36:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

That won't do any good in the GE unless McCain has also commuted sentences for members of the Weather Underground.


by LakersFan on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:23:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

He called the attempt to play guilt by vague association "ridiculous".

What kind of answer SHOULD he have given?


by smoothmedia on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 06:34:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

I didn't say anything about what Obama did or didn't say. I simply pointed out that making the comment about Bill Clinton's pardons won't help him in the GE. And if you think John McCain is going to ignore this issue, I've got a bridge I'd like to sell you.


by LakersFan on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 07:03:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

..but ok, you're right. Won't matter in the general.

If it were me, I'd've said "the best path to redemption from a bad past is helping people, and that's what I cooperated with Ayers in doing. I believe anyone can be redeemed." Dogwhistle to the churched and all.


by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:38:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

"But Senator, on September 11th he said that his only regret was that he didn't do enough."

I think the "I barely know the guy" defense is the way to go.


by Mostly on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:49:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

Read professor Ayers' response to the claim he said he "regretted not planting more bombs." Tell me if you think it was an accurate depiction of what he said.

From "Clarifying the Facts--a Letter to the NYT by Bill Ayers"

September 15, 2001
To The Editors--

In July of this year Dinitia Smith asked my publisher if she might interview me for the New York Times on my forthcoming book, Fugitive
Days. From the start she questioned me sharply about bombings, and each time I referred her to my memoir where I discussed the culture of
violence we all live with in America, my growing anger in the 1960's about the structures of racism and the escalating war, and the complex, sometimes extreme and despairing choices I made in those
terrible times.

Smith's angle is captured in the Times headline: "No regrets for a love of explosives" (September 11, 2001). She and I spoke a lot about
regrets, about loss, about attempts to account for one's life. I never said I had any love for explosives, and anyone who knows me
found that headline sensationalistic nonsense. I said I had a thousand regrets, but no regrets for opposing the war with every ounce of my strength. I told her that in light of the indiscriminate murder of millions of Vietnamese, we showed remarkable restraint, and that while we tried to sound a piercing alarm in those years, in fact we
didn't do enough to stop the war.

Smith writes of me: "Even today, he `finds a certain eloquence to bombs, a poetry and a pattern from a safe distance,' he writes." This
fragment seems to support her "love affair with bombs" thesis, but it is the opposite of what I wrote:

We'll bomb them into the Stone Age, an unhinged American politician had intoned, echoing a gung-ho, shoot-from-the-hip general... each
describing an American policy rarely spoken so plainly. Boom. Boom. Boom. Poor Viet Nam.

Almost four times the destructive power Florida... How could we understand it? How could we take it in? Most important, what should we do about it? Bombs away. There is a certain eloquence to bombs, a poetry and a pattern from a safe distance. The rhythm of B-52s dropping bombs over Viet Nam, a
deceptive calm at 40,000 feet as the doors ease open and millennial eggs are delivered on the green canopy below, the relentless thud of
indiscriminate destruction and death without pause on the ground.

Nothing subtle or syncopated. Not a happy rhythm.
Three million Vietnamese lives were extinguished. Dig up Florida and throw it into the ocean. Annihilate Chicago or London or Bonn. Three
million--each with a mother and a father, a distinct name, a mind and a body and a spirit, someone who knew him well or cared for her or
counted on her for something or was annoyed or burdened or irritated by him; each knew something of joy or sadness or beauty or pain. Each
was ripped out of this world, a little red dampness staining the earth, drying up, fading, and gone. Bodies torn apart, blown away,
smudged out, lost forever.

I wrote about Vietnamese lives as a personal American responsibility, then, and the hypocrisy of claiming an American innocence as we
constructed and stoked an intricate and hideous chamber of death in Asia.

Clearly I wrote and spoke about he export of violence and the government's love affair with bombs. Just as clearly Dinitia Smith
was interested in her journalistic angle and not the truth. This is not a question of being misunderstood or "taken out of context," but
of deliberate distortion.

Some readers apparently responded to her piece, published on the same day as the vicious terrorist attacks in New York and Washington, by
associating my book with them. This is absurd. My memoir is from start to finish a condemnation of terrorism, of the indiscriminate
murder of human beings, whether driven by fanaticism or official policy.

It begins literally in the shadow of Hiroshima and comes of age in the killing fields of Southeast Asia. My book criticizes the American obsession with a clean and distanced violence, and the
culture of thoughtlessness and carelessness that results form it.

We are now witnessing crimes against humanity in our own land on an unthinkable scale, and I fear that we might soon see innocent people
in other parts of the world as well as in the U.S. dying and suffering in response.

All that we witnessed September 11--the awful carnage and pain, the heroism of ordinary people--may drive us mad with grief and anger, or
it may open us to hope in new ways. Perhaps precisely because we have suffered we can embrace the suffering of others and gather the
necessary wisdom to resist the impulse to lash out randomly. The lessons of the anti-war movements of the 1960s and 70s may be more
urgent now than ever.

Bill Ayers
Chicago, IL



by rhetoricus on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:21:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Weather Underground serious business (none / 0)

There are about 100 people in this country who remember anything about the Weather Underground. This is such a ridiculous non-issue.


by amiches on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:39:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Only 100 people were alive in 1968? (2.00 / 1)

Wow we're a younger nation than I thought.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:56:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Only 100 people were alive in 1968? (none / 0)

I was exaggerating, of course, but surely you get my point. In an age of terrorism, global warming, and every other macro threat that demands immediate action, very few will care about tiny, radical sects from the 60's. The fact that these folks have been rehabilitated shows that no one cares anymore.

Surely you cannot think this is a winning issue.


by amiches on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:00:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Were you around then? (2.00 / 1)

I think a lot of people are very afraid of that.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:07:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

THANK YOU.. (none / 0)

Isn't it obvious.. I mean, he's outspending her 3:1 or 4:1

What we are seeing is the absolute cutting edge of election technology and what money can buy, and a campaign of enthusiastic but misled people, (IMO) fighting a people campaign and the people campaign is holding its own.

Go Hillary..


http://www.thisamericanlife.org/Radio_Ep isode.aspx?sched=1242
Confused by the 'Bailout' Lies?
Listen to NPR's The Giant Pool of Money
by architek on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 06:38:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Going negative on purpose (2.00 / 0)

I agree that Obama has gone more negative. And I think there's a reason for it. He's engaging in the tit-for-tat war to drive down turnout among undecideds in central PA. There are consistently about 6% undecided with many in the conservative T. Obama's best case is that most of those voters stay home. The negative tone may convince them to sit it out as many of these conservative voters in the T dislike both candidates.

See here for more analysis:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/04/i ts-turnout-stupid.html


by elrod on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:47:46 PM EST

Hadn't thought of that (2.00 / 0)

good point.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:13:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Going negative on purpose (none / 0)

He's also forcing her to spend money to counter his ads - he's bankrupting her.


by interestedbystander on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:53:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Tipping Point: Despite Cash Advantage (2.00 / 1)

That Obama raises so much money has mostly been presented as a plus for his campaign, but this outspending might be exposing a negative reality--it looks like he has a voter "bang for the buck" problem.


by snarbagel on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:55:12 PM EST

If he can clear that hurdle tomorrow (none / 0)

and win, maybe it's still a plus. But if he can't quite eek it out, what does it mean?


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:13:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If he can clear that hurdle tomorrow (2.00 / 0)

Good question.  If he loses, then does that mean he needs to spend more to get more votes?  Or, does it mean he is spending more but getting the same votes.  I'll bet there's a spreadsheet in the making somewhere on this...


by snarbagel on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:58:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If he can clear that hurdle tomorrow (none / 0)

If he loses, it means he started out 26 points behind a month ago and closed to (probably) single digits. It means that HRC will not gain enough delegates or popular votes to overtake his leads.

And it means that, unlike HRC, his campaign has raised and spent money wisely enough to not be in debt, and to take out the ad time necessary to counteract her name recognition and institutional advantages.


by jbill on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 04:24:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If he can clear that hurdle tomorrow (none / 0)

Yes, he has spent a lot of money in Pennsylvania getting out his message.  We will find out tomorrow if it works to overcome her advantages in the state.


by snarbagel on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 04:44:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: If he can clear that hurdle tomorrow (none / 0)

Exactly.  Money well spent.  What else is he supposed to do with all that cash?  Buy donuts?
Or maybe he could hire a crackjack ace like Mark Penn:

" Nearly half of Clinton's debt in March is money owed to the firm of her demoted former chief strategist, Mark Penn. The report shows that the campaign owes $4.6 million to Penn, Schoen & Berland Associates. The campaign already has paid the firm $14 million, including $3 million in March for polling and direct mail."

How's that for money management.  Clinton supporters have to feel some regret about the way this campaign was run.  With an economy in shambles (issue #1), who are we going to trust to run the country?  Best head-to-head measure is playing out right before our very eyes.

WASHINGTON (AP) - "Barack Obama began April with a 5-to-1 cash advantage over a debt- saddled Hillary Rodham Clinton" (snip)

"Financial reports the Democratic presidential candidates filed with the Federal Election Commission on Sunday show Clinton had $10.3 million in debt at the start of the month and only about $9 million cash on hand for the primaries. Obama reported having $42 million for the primary."

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id= D906BP2O2&show_article=1


by haystax calhoun on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 06:39:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I have to laugh. (none / 0)

One day, Obama isn't "tough enough."

The next day, he's "too tough."

Meanwhile, reports early last week reported that Clinton's ad buy was "100% negative ads."

So Obama is damned if he responds and damned if he doesn't.

I think he's showing the superdelegates that he will respond to negative attacks quickly and fiercely.

And don't think for a second that if the Clinton campaign had his dough, they'd be spending every last penny hurling more of the kitchen at him.

The fact that Camp Clinton is in debt up to their eyeballs is a commentary on where people are pacing their bets.


by Bob Johnson on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 12:58:39 PM EST

Not too tough (2.00 / 1)

I would never say that.

People who aren't tough ARE dangerous though. They're unpredictable if they have tender egos. They can lash out.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:12:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You mean like Hillary? Or McCain? (none / 0)

Obama doesn't lash out. That's just not part of his make-up.


by Bob Johnson on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:14:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Big concern of mine (2.00 / 1)

from what I've observed. Very passive-aggressive.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:30:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That's humorous. (none / 0)

You know nothing about him, then. One of the gripes I have with him is that he doesn't get riled up enough. I actually have seen him operate for a long time. He bears no grudges and he is the farthest thing from "passive-aggressive." He likes to get stuff done. That's his focus.


by Bob Johnson on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:33:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Very passive-aggressive (none / 0)

I wish he were more aggressive too. When you suppress it, it eeks out in other ways.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:43:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Well, you're wrong. (none / 0)

I think if you had bothered to read anything about his time in Illinois Senate or in the U.S. Senate, you would know that you are likely projecting.

You see what you want/need to see to justify your position.


by Bob Johnson on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:48:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The more I learned (2.00 / 1)

the more than impression was reinforced.

Barack Obama and Me.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:54:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That single piece has been recycled over and over. (none / 0)

Have you ever found any kind of piece that corroborated that one reporter's take?

I don't know what happened with this guy, but he is by far the exception to the rule. Hell, Obama has had Illinois Senate Republicans saying nice things about him. He was viewed as honest and straightforward, even by the opposition.

Like I said, you're projecting. Because you need to in order to maintain your anger/dislike/whatever.


by Bob Johnson on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 01:57:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Not angry, I still adore you (2.00 / 1)

That's the truth. I know you're fighting for your candidate, but you do it with heart.

You're somebody I want on my team in November.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 02:57:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

We are of the same mind for November. (2.00 / 0)

I think that, ultimately, you'll be impressed with Obama.

I have issues with Obama. I'm not a "worshipper." For example, I don't think either he or Hillary will get us out of Iraq anytime soon, though they will do it sooner than McCain (which would be never).

I also don't think either one of these candidates is nearly as populist as their rhetoric suggests.

Edwards was a populist. I liked Edwards.

We'll see what happens tomorrow. Either way, it ain't such a bad choice.


by Bob Johnson on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:25:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Adore is a little strong :) (none / 0)

Maybe that went too far.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:43:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Pull it together catfish (none / 0)

Must run. Very embarrassed.


by catfish1 on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:46:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

All in fun, cf. (none / 0)


by Bob Johnson on Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 03:51:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]